Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.5%
Chesterfield
21.7%
Draw
29.9%
Boreham Wood
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Chesterfield
vs
1.72
Boreham Wood
Markets
BTTS73.6%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.590.9%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.555.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
3-1
6.1%
3-2
5.2%
2-0
4.8%
2-3
4.1%
1-0
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).