Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Pisa
23.4%
Draw
14.7%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Pisa
vs
0.84
Spezia
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
1-1
11.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.5%
0-0
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
0-1
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).