Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.3%
Catanzaro
25.9%
Draw
32.8%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Catanzaro
vs
1.45
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS62.7%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.537.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
0-0
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).