Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.0%
Newport County
23.9%
Draw
52.2%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Newport County
vs
1.62
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.526.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.2%
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-0
7.7%
0-0
6.8%
2-1
5.9%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).