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AHT: 00CSV

08 May 2021 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.5%
Wurzburger Kickers
28.4%
Draw
25.1%
Osnabruck

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Wurzburger Kickers

vs
1.04

Osnabruck

Markets

BTTS51.2%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
9.2%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).