Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.2%
Leganes
27.7%
Draw
38.0%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Leganes
vs
1.21
Castellon
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
0-1
11.7%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).