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AHT: 00CSV

27 Sept 2019 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.6%
Chambly
15.1%
Draw
73.3%
Lorient

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Chambly

vs
2.46

Lorient

Markets

BTTS51.7%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.542.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.1%
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-3
9.1%
1-3
7.7%
1-1
7.0%
0-4
5.6%
1-4
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
1-0
3.7%
2-3
3.3%
2-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).