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15 May 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.6%
Aberdeen
24.3%
Draw
20.1%
Livingston

Expected Goals (xG)

1.79

Aberdeen

vs
0.99

Livingston

Markets

BTTS52.9%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
6.8%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.0%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).