Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.6%
Sutton
27.0%
Draw
51.4%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Sutton
vs
1.60
Southend
Markets
BTTS50.3%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
0-1
11.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).