Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.5%
Maidenhead
24.3%
Draw
47.2%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Maidenhead
vs
1.85
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS64.4%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.540.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
1-3
5.7%
0-0
4.7%
1-0
4.6%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
4.0%
2-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).