Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.0%
Kasımpaşa
42.3%
Draw
32.7%
Kocaelispor
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71
Kasımpaşa
vs
0.84
Kocaelispor
Markets
BTTS32.0%
Over 0.575.5%
Over 1.548.9%
Over 2.520.3%
Over 3.57.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
24.5%
1-1
15.8%
0-1
14.7%
1-0
11.9%
0-2
7.5%
2-0
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
0-3
2.1%
2-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
3-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).