Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Caen
26.0%
Draw
45.3%
Dijon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Caen
vs
1.30
Dijon
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.6%
1-1
12.0%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
9.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).