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AHT: 01

08 Dec 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.0%
Antwerp
29.2%
Draw
31.7%
Charleroi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Antwerp

vs
1.08

Charleroi

Markets

BTTS47.1%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
10.5%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).