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19 Dec 2020 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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73.6%
Darmstadt
17.0%
Draw
9.4%
Wurzburger Kickers

Expected Goals (xG)

2.53

Darmstadt

vs
0.83

Wurzburger Kickers

Markets

BTTS52.5%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.1%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.1%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.8%
4-0
5.9%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
3.2%
1-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).