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25 Aug 2024 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.2%
Standard
30.3%
Draw
25.5%
K. Beerschot V.A.

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Standard

vs
0.86

K. Beerschot V.A.

Markets

BTTS41.3%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.7%
1-1
13.6%
0-0
12.9%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).