Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.3%
Almeria
24.4%
Draw
23.2%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Almeria
vs
1.00
Leganes
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.3%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).