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AHT: 12CSV

05 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.8%
Cowdenbeath
30.9%
Draw
54.3%
Peterhead

Expected Goals (xG)

0.66

Cowdenbeath

vs
1.45

Peterhead

Markets

BTTS39.0%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.516.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.5%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.7%
0-2
12.8%
1-2
8.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-1
3.8%
2-2
2.8%
2-0
2.6%
0-4
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).