Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.7%
Freiburg
25.1%
Draw
44.2%
RB Leipzig
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Freiburg
vs
1.71
RB Leipzig
Markets
BTTS62.4%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
0-1
6.9%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
5.5%
0-0
5.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.7%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).