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27 Dec 2024 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.5%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
26.3%
Draw
26.3%
K. Beerschot V.A.

Expected Goals (xG)

1.55

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

vs
1.09

K. Beerschot V.A.

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).