Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.1%
Torino
24.7%
Draw
39.2%
Fiorentina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Torino
vs
1.46
Fiorentina
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.6%
2-0
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).