Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.8%
Motherwell
26.2%
Draw
15.0%
Hamilton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Motherwell
vs
0.66
Hamilton
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.566.1%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
11.7%
0-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
6.9%
0-1
6.5%
3-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).