Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.5%
Denizlispor
21.6%
Draw
67.9%
Fenerbahce
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Denizlispor
vs
2.35
Fenerbahce
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.8%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-3
7.5%
0-1
7.1%
0-0
6.0%
0-4
5.0%
1-4
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
2-1
3.6%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).