Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.7%
Stuttgart
24.2%
Draw
21.1%
Mainz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Stuttgart
vs
1.07
Mainz
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
6.1%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
0-1
5.1%
3-2
3.3%
0-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).