Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.1%
Ferrol
32.9%
Draw
51.0%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48
Ferrol
vs
1.09
Burgos
Markets
BTTS25.1%
Over 0.579.3%
Over 1.546.4%
Over 2.520.9%
Over 3.57.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
22.9%
0-0
20.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-1
10.7%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
5.9%
0-3
4.5%
2-1
2.6%
2-0
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-2
1.4%
0-4
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).