Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.6%
Swansea
25.1%
Draw
53.3%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Swansea
vs
1.76
Fulham
Markets
BTTS54.4%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.4%
0-0
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.5%
0-3
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).