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27 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.1%
Maidstone
20.3%
Draw
60.7%
Aldershot

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Maidstone

vs
2.37

Aldershot

Markets

BTTS66.4%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.570.8%
Over 3.549.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.5%
1-3
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
2-2
6.0%
0-3
5.7%
0-1
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
2-3
4.8%
1-4
4.4%
0-4
3.4%
0-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).