Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.0%
Vallecano
30.7%
Draw
32.3%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Vallecano
vs
0.99
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
13.3%
0-0
12.8%
0-1
12.1%
2-0
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).