Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.5%
Lincoln
21.6%
Draw
16.9%
Skegness Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Lincoln
vs
0.84
Skegness Town
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
2-0
11.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.1%
0-0
6.5%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).