Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.4%
Granada
21.6%
Draw
9.0%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Granada
vs
0.45
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS29.6%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.6%
2-0
17.0%
0-0
11.1%
3-0
9.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
1.9%
4-1
1.9%
2-2
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).