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02 Dec 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.6%
Zaragoza
32.5%
Draw
34.9%
Leganes

Expected Goals (xG)

0.88

Zaragoza

vs
0.93

Leganes

Markets

BTTS35.3%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.553.9%
Over 2.527.2%
Over 3.511.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.2%
0-1
15.3%
1-0
14.6%
1-1
13.3%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-1
5.9%
2-2
2.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
3-0
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).