Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.0%
Salernitana
32.2%
Draw
46.8%
Palermo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Salernitana
vs
1.24
Palermo
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.531.9%
Over 3.514.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.8%
0-0
15.0%
1-1
13.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
4.7%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
0-4
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).