Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.3%
Le Havre
33.3%
Draw
31.4%
Paris FC
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Le Havre
vs
0.76
Paris FC
Markets
BTTS29.0%
Over 0.580.7%
Over 1.546.2%
Over 2.521.5%
Over 3.57.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
19.3%
1-0
17.9%
0-1
16.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.9%
2-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
2.0%
3-0
1.9%
0-3
1.5%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).