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DHT: 10CSV

16 Feb 2020 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.0%
Karlsruhe
21.3%
Draw
16.7%
Osnabruck

Expected Goals (xG)

2.21

Karlsruhe

vs
1.08

Osnabruck

Markets

BTTS59.8%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.541.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
7.2%
3-0
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
0-0
4.6%
4-1
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
4-0
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).