Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.1%
Tenerife
25.2%
Draw
48.7%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Tenerife
vs
1.55
Santander
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-0
8.0%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
0-3
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).