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DHT: 10CSV

21 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.2%
Schalke 04
19.8%
Draw
66.0%
Stuttgart

Expected Goals (xG)

0.99

Schalke 04

vs
2.30

Stuttgart

Markets

BTTS57.2%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.541.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.1%
0-1
7.9%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
0-0
4.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-1
4.2%
2-3
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).