Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.0%
Girona
17.5%
Draw
69.4%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Girona
vs
2.44
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.566.3%
Over 3.544.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
1-1
8.0%
0-3
8.0%
0-1
7.9%
1-3
7.8%
0-4
4.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
2-1
3.8%
2-3
3.8%
0-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).