Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.6%
Shrewsbury
20.9%
Draw
50.6%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Shrewsbury
vs
1.87
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS61.7%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.4%
1-1
9.3%
0-1
8.3%
0-2
7.0%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
6.3%
1-3
5.9%
0-3
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
2-0
3.6%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).