Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Granada
27.7%
Draw
34.5%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Granada
vs
1.23
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
10.0%
0-1
9.4%
0-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).