Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.2%
Paris FC
17.3%
Draw
12.5%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Paris FC
vs
0.75
Caen
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
9.1%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
4.9%
4-0
4.9%
0-0
4.8%
4-1
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).