Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.9%
Logrones
28.9%
Draw
35.2%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Logrones
vs
1.09
Girona
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.5%
0-1
12.3%
0-0
11.1%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
3-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).