Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.5%
Wolfsburg
18.2%
Draw
67.3%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Wolfsburg
vs
2.54
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS63.1%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.571.1%
Over 3.550.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.9%
1-1
7.8%
0-3
6.9%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.3%
1-4
5.0%
2-3
4.5%
0-4
4.4%
2-1
4.1%
0-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).