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DHT: 21CSV

01 Mar 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.2%
Leicester
30.5%
Draw
46.2%
West Brom

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Leicester

vs
1.41

West Brom

Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
11.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
2-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).