Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.7%
Union Berlin
17.3%
Draw
6.0%
Dender
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Union Berlin
vs
0.43
Dender
Markets
BTTS31.0%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
17.5%
1-0
16.3%
3-0
12.4%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
1-1
7.4%
4-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
3.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-0
2.8%
2-2
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).