Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Gillingham
25.7%
Draw
25.4%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Gillingham
vs
0.94
Barrow
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
9.5%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.8%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).