Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.4%
Pacos Ferreira
32.4%
Draw
38.2%
Santa Clara
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Pacos Ferreira
vs
0.94
Santa Clara
Markets
BTTS32.7%
Over 0.582.9%
Over 1.551.0%
Over 2.525.1%
Over 3.59.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.3%
0-0
17.1%
1-0
14.5%
1-1
12.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-0
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
0-3
2.5%
2-2
2.4%
1-3
2.0%
3-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).