Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.6%
Vizela
10.0%
Draw
85.4%
Sp Lisbon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56
Vizela
vs
2.94
Sp Lisbon
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.567.9%
Over 3.546.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.1%
0-3
12.8%
0-4
9.4%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
1-3
7.1%
0-5
5.6%
1-4
5.3%
1-1
4.7%
1-5
3.1%
0-0
2.8%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).