Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.6%
Metz
18.4%
Draw
21.0%
Guingamp
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
Metz
vs
1.25
Guingamp
Markets
BTTS63.1%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.567.8%
Over 3.546.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
1-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-1
4.0%
4-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).