Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.2%
Las Palmas
25.7%
Draw
17.1%
Sporting Gijón
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Las Palmas
vs
0.69
Sporting Gijón
Markets
BTTS38.9%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.8%
2-0
12.6%
1-1
11.4%
0-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.0%
0-2
2.6%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).