Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.2%
Gillingham
25.3%
Draw
44.5%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Gillingham
vs
1.43
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.5%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
7.9%
0-0
7.2%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).