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AHT: 02CSV

22 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.4%
Alloa
26.0%
Draw
49.7%
Falkirk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Alloa

vs
1.65

Falkirk

Markets

BTTS54.5%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.8%
0-0
7.2%
2-1
6.3%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).